Nights that fell below 20 °C
Tropical nights — the low never reached 20 °C
The 20 °C line, which does not move
Data & source
Data: NOAA
GHCN-Daily, station SP000003195 —
Madrid Retiro, — m, run by AEMET in
the Retiro park in central Madrid · public domain, freely redistributable ·
readings — to — · fetched
—.
Scope and caveats, plainly: this is one station in one city,
not Spain and not Europe. The gauge sits in the Retiro park in central Madrid and the city
has grown around it, so part of the warming drawn here is the urban heat island rather than
the climate — a real effect, worth naming rather than hiding. A "tropical night" is one
whose minimum never falls below 20 °C, the threshold AEMET and the WMO both use. GHCN-Daily
records one minimum per calendar date; observing conventions vary by station and era, so a
reading can sit on the date either side of the night it belongs to. Each ridge is a
kernel density of that summer's nightly lows (Gaussian, 0.9 °C bandwidth) scaled as a share
of the summer's nights per degree, so every ridge is on the same vertical scale and a short
summer is still comparable. Readings that failed NCEI's quality checks are dropped, never
interpolated; a summer missing more than a tenth of its 122 nights is dropped whole. The
running summer is drawn as an unfilled outline and labelled "so far" — it has not met
September yet, which is the coolest month of the four, so its middle sits warmer than a
finished summer's would. Days warmed by about the same amount as nights over this record;
what makes the tropical-night count explode is that a fixed threshold sits in the middle of
a moving distribution.